These are the research threads I maintain outside of any institutional affiliation. The goal is simply contribution, and adding to the knowledge base - analysis and recommendations placed where they might actually matter, insights, some serious, some just for curiosities sake. Some projects are active, some are paused waiting on resources or time, and some are early-stage thinking not yet ready to share. This section will likely always be behind from where research is at so feel free to email me with any questions!
Structural analysis of political systems, power, and the policy mechanisms that shape how institutions interact with the people inside them. Research here ranges from original frameworks to draft legislation ready to be placed.
Started as an attempt to build a better political compass — one that could account for irrational ideology combinations and the actual distribution of power rather than self-reported positions. Expanded considerably into something closer to a structural map of individuals, organizations, and nations and how power flows between them. Scope got away from me; paused to reorient.
Draft legislation and policy recommendations covering two linked areas: meaningful data privacy protections and a strengthened mechanism for citizens to petition government directly. Both drafts are in late-stage development. The challenge is placement — work in progress on that front.
Will add when something exciting is worth sharing!.
Original economic research and financial analysis. Current focus is on market structure and the mechanics of ambiguity as a profit-generating mechanism - an area that turned out to be more empirically tractable than expected.
An observation about how deliberate market opacity generates reliably extractable value — and the structural conditions that sustain it. The core claim held up to initial simulations. Further validation is waiting on data acquisition; the datasets needed are available but not cheap. The framework is solid enough to be worth the investment when the moment is right.
This thread is building toward a clearer public-data way to read when Treasury-market pressure looks more like functioning intermediation and when it starts to look more like strain. The early work is promising and increasingly concrete, but the larger harvest-versus-stress theory is still being refined through measurement, validation, and follow-on research.
A public-facing design memo outlining transparent Treasury-market instability proxies and a validation plan for testing whether similar repo and liquidity activity can reflect very different underlying conditions.
The first major research build: a measurement-and-validation architecture that tracks Treasury price instability alongside intermediation constraint, then tests whether the constraint axis adds explanatory signal beyond price moves alone when checked against semi-independent public validators.
A follow-on public research page for Project 2. This extension tests whether public carry and market-plumbing signals sharpen interpretation of the baseline Treasury conditions framework, then keeps only the part that actually survived: 2y–BGCR as a modest overlay alongside a trimmed descriptive context layer.
Next-stage work is being formulated to push the theory further, tighten state interpretation, and clarify where the strongest evidence for harvest versus stress can realistically come from.
Research that doesn't fit cleanly into the other buckets — interdisciplinary work, applied research, or topics that started as curiosity and became something more serious.
Description will go here. This bucket is intentionally flexible — use it for interdisciplinary work, applied research, or anything that doesn't belong in the other two categories.